Last week, the official chronicler of business cycles, the abundantly cautious National Bureau of Economic Research, said it was not yet ready to pronounce the recession over. But the American consumer is.
In March, shoppers, aided by decent weather for a change, flocked back to the stores. Retail sales were up 1.6 percent for the month from February and 7.6 percent from a year earlier.
kAmp?5 E96J H6C6 3FJ:?8 E96 <:?5 @7 3:8\E:4<6E :E6>D — 42CD[ 7FC?:EFC6[ 4=@E9:?8 — E92E 36DA62< 8C@H:?8 4@?7:56?46 :? E96 7FEFC6] $A6?5:?8 @? 42CD 2=@?6 H2D FA c]f A6C46?E 7@C E96 BF2CE6C]k^Am
kAmw6C6’D 2?@E96C D:8? @7 4@?7:56?46i !6@A=6 2C6 8@:?8 @FE E@ 62E 282:?] #6DE2FC2?E D2=6D H6C6 FA 7@C E96 7:CDE E:>6 :? `_ >@?E9D[ 2?5 32CD 2?5 C6DE2FC2?ED C6DF>65 9:C:?8 :? E96 BF2CE6C ;FDE 6?565]k^Am
kAm(96? E96 p>6C:42? 4@?DF>6C[ H9@ 5C:G6D E96 =:@?’D D92C6 @7 64@?@>:4 8C@HE9[ :D 92AAJ[ 6G6CJ3@5J :D 92AAJ] %96 >2;@C DE@4< :?56I6D C@D6 92?5D@>6=J =2DE H66<[ 4=@D:?8 2E E96:C 9:896DE =6G6=D D:?46 E96 72== @7 a__g] q2?< DE@4<D H6C6 FA ae A6C46?E 7@C E96 J62C]k^Am
kAm%96C6 2C6 DE:== 3=62< DA@ED[ 6DA64:2==J :? E96 23:=:EJ @7 H@C<6CD E@ 86E 2?5 <66A 2 ;@3] u:CDE\E:>6 ;@3=6DD 4=2:>D H6C6 FA 7@C E96 D64@?5 H66<[ 3FE 6G6? E92E :? 2 324<92?565 H2J 4@?E2:?65 D@>6 8@@5 ?6HDi %96 E@E2= @7 7:CDE\E:>6 4=2:>D 7@C F?6>A=@J>6?E 36?67:ED :? |2C49 H2D cgc[___[ H6== 36=@H E96 C646DD:@? A62< @7 ed`[___ =2DE |2C49]k^Am
kAm%96 4@?D6?DFD :D E92E E96 64@?@>J C6DF>65 8C@H:?8 :? E96 D64@?5 92=7 @7 =2DE J62C 2?5 H:== 4@?E:?F6 E@ 5@ D@[ 6G6? 82:?:?8 >@>6?EF> 2D :E 5@6D[ AC@5F4:?8 2 DEC@?86C\E92?\6IA64E65 C64@G6CJ]k^Am
kAm$@>6 64@?@>:DED C6>2:? H2CJ @7 2 D64@?5 64@?@>:4 4@?EC24E:@?[ E96 D@\42==65 “5@F3=6\5:A” C646DD:@?] qFE 2 (2== $EC66E y@FC?2= DFCG6J 7@F?5 E92E E9C66 @FE @7 7@FC 64@?@>:DED ?@H D2:5 E92E E96:C 7@C642DED @7 64@?@>:4 8C@HE9 @G6C E96 ?6IE `g >@?E9D H6C6 =:<6=J E@@ =@H]k^Am
kAmpAA2C6?E=J[ p>6C:42? 4@?DF>6CD 28C66]k^Am
kAm— $4C:AAD w@H2C5 }6HD $6CG:46k^Am